Prices are well calibrated and predictably wrong in five ways: longshot bias, capital lock-up, thin books, fees, and resolution risk.
Home / Do prediction market odds equal probability? Not quite
Prices are well calibrated and predictably wrong in five ways: longshot bias, capital lock-up, thin books, fees, and resolution risk.
Philippine authorities froze 25 crypto wallets and 91 other accounts and assets tied to an unnamed lawmaker in a flood-control
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